Key statistics:

• Polling takes place for a total of 294 Assembly seats.
• The second phase covers 142 seats with an electorate of approximately 3.21 crore.
• By 11 am on April 29, voter turnout reached 39.97%.
• Exit polls indicate that the BJP may secure between 192 seats (plus/minus 11) while TMC could land around 100 seats (plus/minus 11).

The atmosphere in West Bengal is charged with anticipation as voters await their fate. The first phase of polling saw a staggering turnout exceeding 90%, setting a high bar for engagement. Ganguly noted this enthusiasm, remarking on how it reflects the democratic spirit of the state.

The main contest remains tightly contested between the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which has been gaining ground in recent years. As exit polls circulate, many speculate about their accuracy and reliability.

Sourav Ganguly’s statement resonates deeply within this context: “How can I answer such a question? Only on Monday, when the ballot box opens, will we all know the answer.” His words encapsulate a sentiment shared by many—uncertainty looms large over these elections.

The counting of votes is scheduled for May 4, 2026. Until then, West Bengal holds its breath, navigating through predictions and hopes alike.

The post Sourav Ganguly West Bengal Poll: Unpredictability Reigns appeared first on The Business News.

According to recent surveys, the UDF is projected to secure between 70-75 seats out of 140, while the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) may capture around 60-65 seats. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), meanwhile, is expected to win a mere 3-5 seats.

The backdrop to this electoral battle is significant. The 2026 Assembly election follows a historic verdict in the 2021 polls when the LDF broke Kerala’s long-standing pattern of alternating governments every five years. Voter turnout has been robust, with reports indicating a participation rate of 78.27%, reflecting a keen public interest in this pivotal election.

Political analysts suggest that the UDF’s resurgence stems from widespread discontent with the current government’s handling of various issues. Exit polls show a neck-and-neck contest between the UDF and LDF, with many voters eager for change. However, experts caution that exit polls are just predictions based on surveys and can turn out to be wrong on result day.

Key statistics:

• The majority mark in the Kerala Assembly is 71 seats.
• The UDF aims to replace the current LDF government.
• Projected seats for UDF by P-Marq range from 71-79.
• People’s Pulse suggests UDF could secure between 75-85 seats.
• Axis My India predicts UDF might achieve between 78-90 seats.

The stakes are high for both parties as they prepare for what promises to be a fiercely contested election. With Pinarayi Vijayan at the helm of the LDF and Congress rallying behind its candidates, all eyes will be on Kerala come April.

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Before this prediction, many analysts anticipated a close race between the DMK-led ruling coalition and the AIADMK. The prevailing sentiment suggested that voters would remain loyal to these established parties. However, the latest exit polls indicate a shift in voter sentiment—TVK is projected to secure approximately 35% of the vote share, effectively matching the DMK’s support.

Key projections:

• DMK-INC+ is expected to win between 92 and 110 seats.
• NDA is projected to secure only 22 to 32 seats.
• Vijay emerges as the most favored choice for Chief Minister with 37% support, slightly ahead of MK Stalin at 35%.

This surge in support for TVK reveals deeper currents within Tamil Nadu’s electorate. Notably, 68% of first-time voters aged 18-19 express their backing for TVK, alongside 59% among those aged 20-29. Such statistics suggest that TVK resonates particularly well with younger voters seeking change.

The desire for transformation appears to be a pivotal theme driving this electoral shift. About 35% of voters cite their wish for change as their primary motivation for supporting TVK—a sentiment that escalates to an astounding 77%% among TVK supporters. This reflects a growing discontent with traditional political structures.

The implications of these numbers could be profound—if these projections hold true, TVK may not only emerge as a dominant force but could also play kingmaker in a fractured mandate. As political analyst Pradeep Gupta noted, Vijay’s rise parallels that of legendary leaders like MG Ramachandran (MGR) in Tamil Nadu.

This evolving political dynamic signals a potential break from Tamil Nadu’s long-standing bipolar politics. The total number of seats in the assembly stands at 234, with a halfway mark of 118 needed to form the government. As such, all eyes will be on how this new party navigates its inaugural electoral challenge.

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